"Anything That Can Go Wrong, Will Go Wrong" Murphy's General Law
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a systematic approach for identifying probable failures in a system, product, or process, evaluating their impacts, and figuring out how to minimize or prevent them. FMEA is a proactive method that seeks to foresee future issues and deal with them in advance of happening rather than responding to them after the fact. Reliability, safety, and quality control are frequently addressed in engineering design through the FMEA process.
In order to identify probable failure modes, their consequences, and their causes, a team of experts conducting a basic FMEA process thoroughly reviews a system, product, or process. On the basis of severity, the likelihood of occurrence, and detectability, the team then assigns a rating to each probable failure mode. The possible failure modes are ranked according to importance using the information provided. The team then creates and puts into effect measures to avoid or minimize the most critical failure scenarios.
FMEA fosters a proactive approach to problem-solving, which is one of its main advantages. Organizations may avoid or reduce difficulties by spotting them in advance and taking action, thereby saving time and money. Exploring "what-if" scenarios is encouraged by the qualitative process of FMEA, which may be used to find probable failure modes that would not be apparent by other methods.
FMEA's ultimate objective is to limit or completely eradicate the likelihood of crucial failures. Organizations may enhance the dependability, safety, and quality of their goods and services, which will boost client happiness and loyalty by taking a systematic approach to identifying and resolving possible issues.
In order to assess probable failures and their impact on military equipment, the US military created FMEA in the 1940s. FMEA was used by the military to reduce the risk of equipment failure during operations and to guarantee that it was dependable.
The aerospace sector first used FMEA in the 1960s to assess possible risks and product failures, and it quickly became a crucial step in their design and production processes. FMEA was implemented by the automotive industry in the 1970s in order to assure the safety and dependability of their cars in light of the growing complexity of automotive systems.
In the 1980s, several sectors embraced FMEA as a reliable technique for spotting probable failures. During this time, the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) developed a standard approach for FMEA implementation that included best practices for applying FMEA across industries. A new standard known as Design FMEA (DFMEA), which is used exclusively for examining the risks and potential failures connected with product design, was released in 2008. A development of the conventional FMEA method, DFMEA concentrates on locating and preventing any flaws during the design stage itself.
The AIAG-VDA FMEA Harmonization Project, which sought to unify several FMEA standards and guides across sectors, gave FMEA a facelift in 2019. By removing redundancy and streamlining the technique, this initiative attempted to improve the FMEA process' efficiency and effectiveness.
Figure 1 - AIAG-VDA FMEA process
The FMEA procedure is thoroughly described in the widely used AIAG-VDA FMEA Handbook. Here is a list of all the steps needed:
Each step is sequential, so the previous step creates output data that serves as input for the next step.
The AIAG-VDA FMEA Handbook also offers recommendations on how to rate severity, occurrence, and detection levels as well as define countermeasures for high-risk failure modes. To guarantee ongoing improvement of the system or process under analysis, the iterative FMEA approach should be often reviewed.
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In this article,the FMEA process using the example of the order fulfillment process in an online store will be analyzed.
First, the scope and purpose of the FMEA needs to be defined. This involves defining the product or process to be analyzed, the purpose of the analysis, and the team of experts who will conduct the analysis. It is important to note that the team should be truly cross-functional, i.e., with people with different knowledge of the process, product or service, and customer needs. That is, this process is not conducted by only one team member (e.g., a business analyst or project manager), but almost all stakeholders, both internal and external, should participate in it.
For the case study at hand, we first describe what exactly will be investigated, namely the process of receiving, selecting and packing, as well as delivering orders. The next section shows why this is done, for what purpose. It also identifies a cross-functional team that will conduct this analysis.
Scope
Objectives
Team members
The Order Fulfillment process, which comprises the stages of receiving, selecting and packaging, and delivering orders, will be the subject of the FMEA study.
1. Identify potential failure modes and associated risks in the Order Fulfillment process.
2. Prioritize failure modes based on their severity and occurrence, and develop appropriate corrective actions to reduce the risks.
3. Verify the effectiveness of corrective actions and establish ongoing monitoring and measurement to ensure sustained effectiveness.
4. Improve product quality, reduce customer complaints, and increase process efficiency.
Operations Manager
Production Manager
Shipping Manager
Quality Manager
IT Manager
Customer Service Representative
Next, all potential failure modes and their impact should be identified. This can be done by brainstorming, reviewing historical data, or using other tools such as fault tree analysis, for example.
Failure Mode
Effect
Incorrect item shipped
Customer dissatisfaction, potential returns and refunds, potential loss of revenue
Incorrect quantity shipped
Delayed shipment
Customer dissatisfaction, potential loss of revenue, potential damage to customer relationship
Damaged product during shipping
Customer dissatisfaction, potential returns and refunds, potential loss of revenue, potential damage to customer relationship
Once the potential failures have been identified, it is necessary to assess the severity, occurrence, and detectability of each failure. Severity is the seriousness of the effect of a failure mode on the customer or end user. Occurrence is the probability or frequency of the failure mode occurring. And detectability is the ability of current controls or systems to detect the failure mode before it reaches the customer or end user. The scores are quantified by the expert group identified in the first step.
Severity Rating
Occurrence Rating
Detection Rating
8
4
9
7
3
6
5
2
A set of scales is typically used to evaluate the severity, frequency of occurrence, and detectability of potential failures during an FMEA. These scales are used to assign numerical ratings to each failure mode, which allows for the calculation of a risk priority number (RPN).
Some of the scales used include:
Some organizations modify these scales to suit their needs.
Figure 2 - Scales for Evaluation
Next, the risk priority number (RPN) for each failure mode needs to be calculated. The RPN is calculated by multiplying the severity, frequency, and detectability scores. This gives a numerical value that helps prioritize which failures should be addressed first. Regulation FMEA documents provide the following templates for the final risk priority assessment.
Figure 3 - RPN Calculation
RPN
288
168
210
144
It is important to note that the RPN is not a definitive assessment of failures. It is simply a tool to help prioritize which ones should be addressed first. The FMEA team should use their judgment and experience to determine which failures are the most critical.
Once the RPN is calculated:
There is an unofficial rule that if a failure mode has a low priority, then corrective actions for it are not carried out or are carried out last.
Failure Modes
Potential Corrective Actions
Priority
Responsible Person
Timeline
Implement double-check system for order picking and shipping
High
4 weeks
Implement barcode scanning system for order picking and shipping
6 weeks
Improve communication between production and shipping teams to identify potential delays earlier
Medium
Production Manager and Shipping Manager
8 weeks
Improve packaging materials and methods to reduce damage during shipping
10 weeks
Finally, it is necessary to verify the effectiveness of the corrective measures taken. This step involves:
Corrective Actions
Verification Plan
Results
Updated RPN
During a month, do daily reviews of the order selection and shipping records.
No instances of incorrect item shipped during the audit period
48
During two months, examine order picking and shipping logs on a weekly basis.
No instances of incorrect quantity shipped during the audit period
24
During three months, have weekly meetings between the production and shipping teams.
Number of delayed shipments decreased by 50% during the verification period
105
During six months, do monthly reviews of consumer comments and returns.
Number of customer complaints and returns related to damaged products decreased by 80% during the verification period
29
It's essential to remember that FMEA is an ongoing process and should be constantly reviewed and updated as new information becomes available.
It is not actually the last step of the process, but is performed in parallel with other activities. The FMEA is usually documented in a form that captures all the information gathered during the analysis. The form typically includes information such as the product or process being analyzed, potential failure modes, severity, probability of occurrence, detectability, RPN, and corrective actions taken. It is important to emphasize once again that this form is completed by the entire team during the analysis, during corrective action, and after corrective action, meaning that this process is ongoing, not just done and forgotten.
Figure 4 - FMEA form
So, the key principles, the FMEA ideology, may now be defined, which include:
By adhering to these key principles, FMEA assists businesses in identifying and mitigating possible failures, improving product quality, dependability, and lowering expenses related to product recalls, warranty claims, and customer complaints.
Here are some of its Advantages and Disadvantages: Advantages:
Disadvantages:
This process is often not used in its raw form in practice. Over the years, the FMEA process has undergone various modifications and extensions. Some common examples are:
Despite being around for over 70 years, FMEA is still a relevant and valuable tool for many industries. As products and processes become increasingly complex, the need for proactive risk management is becoming increasingly important. FMEA is still relevant today for several reasons:
In summary, FMEA is a powerful tool that can help organizations prevent potential failures before they happen, ensuring that they are prepared for anything that could go wrong.
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